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	<title>Game-Change.com Blog&#187; Insight</title>
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		<title>EADS North America KC-45: The Real Tanker</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2010/06/15/eads-north-america-kc-45-the-real-tanker/</link>
		<comments>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2010/06/15/eads-north-america-kc-45-the-real-tanker/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jun 2010 21:31:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Insight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[air force tanker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[airbus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boeing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EADS]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.game-change.com/blog/?p=864</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[More mirthful back-and-forth between Boeing and EADS.

Boeing today fired off a rebuttal ad to the EADS “Get Real” ad published right after it got back into the KC-X tanker competition.

Boeing also posted this message on its website:]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>More mirthful back-and-forth between Boeing and EADS.</p>
<p>Boeing today fired off <a href="http://unitedstatestanker.com/SiteContent/Static/Docs/KC-X_Only_Lost.pdf" target="_blank">a  rebuttal ad</a> to the EADS “Get Real” ad published right after it got  back into the KC-X tanker competition.</p>
<p>Boeing also posted this message on its website:</p>
<div>
<h2><em>Standing Up for the Truth</em></h2>
<p><!-- AddThis Button BEGIN --> <!-- AddThis Button END --></p>
</div>
<div>
<div><em>May 25</em></div>
</div>
<p><em>The Boeing Company has taken our tanker technology trailer to 14   cities in 12 weeks to demonstrate why the NewGen Tanker is the best   choice to replace the critical but aging Eisenhower-era KC-135 fleet. We   appreciate the many visitors who have made time to hear our story and   share their thoughts. While taxpayers do not decide which tanker will  be  selected, each and every voice needs to be heard on this issue. It  is a  significant economic decision that will impact America’s national   security.</em></p>
<p><em>While the cost of the contract is estimated at  approximately $35  billion, the value of providing future men and women  who selflessly  serve this nation with the most advanced tanker ever  created is  priceless. That is why this KC-X choice should become very  personal to  each and every citizen.</em></p>
<p><em>Let me share an example.  Our Boeing trailer team showed up one  Tuesday morning in Toledo, Ohio,  to set up for another stop on our  tour. We were met by a nice couple  eager to check out the NewGen Tanker  technology. They had been following  this acquisition effort for years  and were more than willing to express  their opinions. More than  anything else, they wanted us to clearly lay  out why we have the best  airplane and why the men and women working at  existing facilities and  on our supplier team should make this fleet here  in America.</em></p>
<p><em>An important part of telling our story is setting  the record  straight when our competitor distorts the truth. We owe that  to the  many people who don’t have time to research the facts and hold  them  accountable. We owe that to the men and women who fly, fight and  win in  the United States Air Force. And we owe that to the incredible  Boeing  employees who build military and commercial jets for the world.</em></p>
<p><em>That’s why we are running a new ad. Our initial  NewGen tanker  advertising described the merits of our offer. But the  European  Aeronautic Defence and Space Company (EADS) took a different  tactic and  began attacking our airplane and the ability of Americans to  deliver.</em></p>
<p><em>While we have no desire to go tit-for-tat, we will not  accept a  complete distortion of the truth. To borrow a line from the ad,   “America’s warfighters and taxpayers deserve the real facts, the real   story, and the best choice — the Boeing NewGen Tanker.”</em></p>
<p>EADS responded with this from its website:</p>
<p><em><strong>EADS North America KC-45: The Real Tanker</strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>Going Negative</strong></em></p>
<p><em>When companies get desperate, they do desperate things. The  Boeing ad campaign has pivoted.  No longer content to show concept art  portraying what its U.S. tanker might one day look like if it ever gets  built, Boeing today suggests in a full page </em><em>Washington Post ad  that EADS North America is actually the company that doesn’t have a  working tanker – while showing our tanker in flight, refueling an F-16.</em></p>
<p><em>Contrast that with Boeing’s ads for its NewGen tanker, which  label as “Combat Ready” an artists conception of a plane that has never  been built or flown.</em></p>
<p><em><strong>The Facts</strong></em></p>
<p><em>Boeing’s NewGen tanker only exists on paper, and is profoundly  different than any tanker it has ever built. The Boeing Corporation’s  last tanker delivery to the U.S. Air Force was in 1965. Boeing has  delivered – years late – four 767 tankers to Japan that do not come  close to meeting U.S. requirements. Boeing is more than four years late  providing a tanker to Italy, because it lacks fully functional refueling  systems.</em></p>
<p><em>Don’t let Boeing distract you. Only EADS North America has a  tanker that is flying and refueling today that meets Air Force  requirements. When that changes, we’re sure Boeing will share a  photograph of the tanker they are trying to sell the Air Force.</em></p>
<p><em> In the meantime, you can watch video of our real tanker in  action – the same platform the Air Force will get, with the same  refueling systems – at <a href="http://kc45nowcom.createsend.com/t/r/l/njtkkd/ituhktkyy/r">kc-45now.com.</a></em></p>
<p><em>Source: <a title="leeham news" href="http://leehamnews.wordpress.com/" target="_blank">leeham news</a><br />
</em></p>
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		<title>The silent scream of the unloved Aerospace customer</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2010/01/22/the-silent-scream-of-the-unloved-aerospace-customer/</link>
		<comments>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2010/01/22/the-silent-scream-of-the-unloved-aerospace-customer/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Jan 2010 13:45:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Insight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aerospace news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[airbus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boeing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[continuous improvement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lean aerospace]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[richard branson virgin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[udvar hazy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[This collection of recent quotes highlights that the airlines are not satisfied with the performance of either Airbus or Boeing. The critical issue of mis-servicing customer (internal and external) requirements, is rapidly becoming one of the most serious problems affecting the industry today.

 Notice how Udvar-Hazy’s choice of wording has strengthened over the 2 years from 2007 to 2009; compare ‘optimized for the airlines not for the manufacturers’ and ‘I was so frustrated...’ alongside the 2009 statement ‘You cannot deal with companies that are unreliable’.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><span style="color: #800000;">Kamran Zamir, 28th January 2010</span></strong></p>
<p>This collection of recent quotes highlight that the airlines are not satisfied with the performance of either Airbus or Boeing. The critical issue of mis-servicing customer (internal and external) requirements, is rapidly becoming one of the most serious problems affecting the industry today.</p>
<p>Notice how Udvar-Hazy’s choice of wording has strengthened over the 2 years from 2007 to 2009; compare ‘optimized for the airlines not for the manufacturers’ and ‘I was so frustrated&#8230;’ alongside the 2009 statement ‘You cannot deal with companies that are unreliable’.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.game-change.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/richard-branson.png"> <img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-729" title="richard branson" src="http://www.game-change.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/richard-branson.png" alt="" width="610" height="490" /></a></p>
<p>On <strong><span style="color: #800000;">10 February 2009, Aero-News.net</span></strong> reported: ‘Udvar-Hazy, Branson Predict Rough Times For Planemakers&#8217;</p>
<p>‘Both Chide Boeing For Strike-Related Delays. Two of commercial aviation&#8217;s biggest names had sobering comments about Boeing Commercial Aircraft last week, marring what should have been the cheerful occasion of the delivery of a new Boeing 777 to V Australia&#8230;<br />
‘Sir Richard Branson, chairman of the Virgin group of airlines, appeared conscious his comments would reach both execs and workers at Boeing, and did not mince words. He commented on his new 777, which was supposed to have been delivered last year: &#8220;It was a horrible mess that Boeing was on strike,&#8221; he said. &#8220;We messed up tens of thousands of passengers over Christmas. We had to buy tickets on other airlines and scramble to get seats which weren&#8217;t available. The financial damage in an industry where the margins are minute is catastrophic.”&#8230;<br />
‘Regarding Branson&#8217;s comments on Boeing labor woes, Udvar-Hazy added &#8220;You can&#8217;t deal with companies that are unreliable.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #800000;">Feb 2009, Seattle Post Intelligencer: </span></strong>&#8216;All-Boeing&#8217; Ryanair considering Airbus order. The article reports that even after publicly stating in 2002 &#8220;Our message to Boeing today is, you keep building &#8216;em, we&#8217;ll keep flying &#8216;em and together we will beat the crap out of Airbus in Europe,&#8221; Ryanair CEO O&#8217;Leary is now considering purchasing Airbus.</p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #800000;">2 May 2008, FlightGlobal.com: </span></strong>“[Emirates] president, Tim Clark&#8230; says: ‘We&#8217;re waiting for Airbus to complete its evaluation. The A380 deliveries are crucial to what we want to do, so if we don&#8217;t get them as planned, then we&#8217;ll have an acute problem.’&#8221; This statement was made after Emirate’s first 5 A380’s, originally scheduled for delivery in 2006 had already been delayed to 2009.</p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #800000;">10 May 2007, New York Times,</span></strong> quoting Steven Udvar-Hazy of International Lease Finance Corporation, the world’s largest buyer of commercial aircraft for the airlines: ‘Mr. Hazy says he is not shy about telling Boeing and Airbus what to build: “We are saying to the manufacturers, ‘Here’s what the plane should look like.’ Our loyalty is to the airline industry that serves the public, and the product has to be optimized for the airlines and not for the manufacturers” &#8230; Before a stunned crowd at an industry gathering last spring, Mr. Hazy lowered the boom on the A350 and, almost overnight, killed the design. This followed months of private discussions with Airbus executives in which Mr. Hazy complained that the proposed A350 was just a “warmed up” version of an existing plane, and that its wing design made it too slow&#8230; “I felt Airbus was paying attention, but was not embracing our ideas. I was so frustrated with Airbus because they were stalling”&#8230; He has warned Boeing and Airbus that the days of their control may be numbered by the growth of the Chinese, Russian and Japanese aviation industries.’</p>
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		<title>19 Feb 2021 Western Aerospace Industry Collapse – What caused it?</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/12/10/is-there-a-future-for-western-commercial-aircraft-industry/</link>
		<comments>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/12/10/is-there-a-future-for-western-commercial-aircraft-industry/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Dec 2009 11:53:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[This piece aims to explore the current industry situation, take lessons from history and put forward a reasonably probable future if things do not change radically. It puts the case for massive change in western commercial aircraft industry if it is to avoid contraction on a massive scale. Throughout this piece, we concentrate on Boeing and Airbus but the futures of a vast interconnected web of partners, suppliers and subcontractors are inextricably tied to these two big names.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Jeremy Tranmer,</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="color: #000000;">Is there a future for Western commercial Aerospace industry?</span></strong></p>
<p><a rel="attachment wp-att-446" href="http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/12/10/is-there-a-future-for-western-commercial-aircraft-industry/yourfile1-2/"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-446" title="yourfile1" src="http://www.game-change.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/yourfile11.gif" alt="yourfile1" width="503" height="397" /></a></p>
<p>Europe was this week devastated with the news that Airbus is to close all its European plants except its A380 superjumbo line. The economy of Hamburg will be badly affected, but less so than that of Toulouse where Airbus has been the only large employer since the late 1990’s. People are predicting a ghost-town in Toulouse, a city that already suffered from the wholesale out-sourcing of IT to India and China during the last decade. Already a spate of strikes and civil unrest has been plaguing the city. The social consequences of this latest news are frightening. But Toulouse is just one casualty of Airbus downsizing – aerospace is known for the complex network of organisations involved in the supply chain. Nearly every aerospace and defence company in Europe has been, and will continue to be badly hit by Airbus’ failures. The ramifications across Europe are enormous.</p>
<p>The defining event to which most industry observers point was the launch of the MRJ in 2008. This was the first aircraft for a newly formed Mitsubishi-Toyota joint venture, the organisation which subsequently became Associated Aircraft Producers (AAP), and significantly was the first commercial aircraft delivered on time in over 20 years. Not only that, but it met all its performance guarantees.</p>
<p>At launch the AAP20 reportedly had costs of production unmatchable by the A320 and 737 which meant that Boeing and Airbus were unable to match the price. AAP is quoted as saying that its advanced production techniques resulted in build costs of around 60% of those of its competitors.</p>
<p>Subsequent investigation into the decline of Boeing and Airbus reveals clues to the current situation were present more than 20 years before the MRJ and AAP came onto the scene. In the late 90’s Boeing brought in some of Toyota’s production system experts to sort out their B717 production facility in Long Beach, giving them firsthand knowledge of how to run a large commercial aircraft final assembly line. Around the same time, in the late 90’s Toyota began recruiting aeronautical engineers and in 2002 was spotted testing its TAPA, a 12-seat composite-fuselage jet over the Mojave Desert, USA. In 2005, just as Toyota was about to displace GM from its 70-year perch as the world’s number one auto-maker it reportedly had more money in the bank than all big-4 US automakers put together.</p>
<p>Now with the benefit of hindsight we can see the effects of the blinkered views of Boeing and Airbus executives around the turn of the century: They clearly believed they were in a two-horse race – the Airbus strategy had for some time been “Beat Boeing”, Boeing responded to the upstart Airbus by whingeing to its government about subsidies being given to Airbus, almost causing a trade-war between the USA and EU.</p>
<p>With Airbus attempting to develop more programmes than it could manage, Boeing was set to reap the returns from the 787. What happened next is the stuff of legend: Development and production problems beset the 787 like no programme before it. Some Airbus executives have claimed that Boeing tried to do with one giant leap what Airbus had gradually been stepping through over the previous 20 years.</p>
<p>By the time the first AAP20 was delivered, neither Boeing nor Airbus were in a fit state to respond, both dealing with lack-lustre sales/deliveries of their new aircraft and their cash-cow workhorse market decimated.</p>
<p>Leaving aside the global strategic and political issues, could Boeing and Airbus have done anything themselves to reduce the future damage? Most industry commentators suggest that they could, but it was a case of too little, too late.</p>
<p>This 20-year-old quote from Fujio Cho, then president of Toyota Motor Company comes to mind: “We get brilliant results from average people managing brilliant processes &#8211; while our competitors get average or worse results from brilliant people managing broken processes”</p>
<p>This is an extract from the article, &#8220;Is there a future for Western commercial Aerospace industry?&#8221;, by Jeremy Tranmer</p>
<p><a title="Is there a future for Western commercial aerospace industry?" href="http://www.game-change.com/blogpdf/Is%20there%20a%20future%20for%20Western%20commercial%20aerospace%20industry.pdf" target="_blank">Is there a future for Western commercial aerospace industry</a> the complete article</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;"><strong>About the author</strong></span></p>
<p>Jeremy Tranmer is a consultant in operational performance improvement to international aerospace and defence businesses. He is a partner with Game-Change Consulting.</p>
<p><a class="alignleft" title="Game Change Lean Aerospace Consulting" href="http://www.game-change.com" target="_blank">www.game-change.com</a></p>
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		<title>Lean manufacturing is lacking in the aerospace and defence industry</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/12/10/gap-widening-between-ad-%e2%80%9chaves%e2%80%9d-and-%e2%80%9chave-nots%e2%80%9d/</link>
		<comments>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/12/10/gap-widening-between-ad-%e2%80%9chaves%e2%80%9d-and-%e2%80%9chave-nots%e2%80%9d/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Dec 2009 10:53:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.game-change.com/blog/?p=164</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The merging of these two methodologies has been the basis for several aerospace and defence Lean initiatives such as Airbus Power 8 and the recently launched Eurocopter SHAPE program. With considerable time and attention being devoted, and now fast becoming a major priority for most Aerospace senior and front line managers, scores of employees have been trained in Lean and Six Sigma tools and techniques leading to on the job application to drive business unit, functional, corporate objectives and ultimately, profitability.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kamran Zamir</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;"><strong>Game-Change Comment</strong></span></p>
<p><a rel="attachment wp-att-366" href="http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/12/10/gap-widening-between-ad-%e2%80%9chaves%e2%80%9d-and-%e2%80%9chave-nots%e2%80%9d/1-aircraft-maintenance/"></a><a rel="attachment wp-att-366" href="http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/12/10/gap-widening-between-ad-%e2%80%9chaves%e2%80%9d-and-%e2%80%9chave-nots%e2%80%9d/1-aircraft-maintenance/"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-366" title="1-aircraft-maintenance" src="http://www.game-change.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/1-aircraft-maintenance.jpg" alt="1-aircraft-maintenance" width="550" height="367" /></a></p>
<p>These days, it isn&#8217;t enough for a company merely to cut costs.</p>
<p>It needs to streamline robust processes while improving the quality of products and services. Becoming  a nimble organization—one that blends best practices, continuous improvement, and evolutionary change while increasing profits.</p>
<p><strong>Enter Lean,</strong> a concept that designs, manufactures, delivers and supports products more efficiently and at lower costs — while systematically identifying and eliminating waste — all the way through the product life cycle. It uses a &#8220;just-in-time&#8221; system that gives internal and external customers what they want, when they want it, and at the lowest possible cost. The five principles of Lean are a set of leadership and decision making principles that define excellence: Customer Value, Value Stream, Flow, Pull and Perfection.</p>
<p>Six Sigma compliments this methodology, focusing on driving to perfection all business, technical and operational processes and results. It encompasses defect prevention, variation reduction and mistake proofing through the use of data driven tools.</p>
<p>The merging of these two methodologies has been the basis for several aerospace and defence Lean initiatives such as Airbus Power 8 and the recently launched Eurocopter SHAPE program. With considerable time and attention being devoted, and now fast becoming a major priority for most Aerospace senior and front line managers, scores of employees have been trained in Lean and Six Sigma tools and techniques leading to on the job application to drive business unit, functional, corporate objectives and ultimately, profitability.</p>
<p>I recently instructed a training class of about twenty European Aerospace industry senior managers in Lean and Six Sigma principles. At the end of the week long session, their was positive engagement and “buy-in” all round and we talked at length about the benefits of promoting the learning company-wide. In exuberant mood, I posed a question to the group, to be answered individually in a round-table discussion.</p>
<p>“What are your next steps for your respective department/function/business unit to promote Lean implementation”</p>
<p>After a dozen or so responses, the following key themes were notable;</p>
<p>“This is not a company priority for us at the moment &#8230;”.</p>
<p>“We haven’t been told by our management to do anything, as yet”.</p>
<p>“We need time to get involved in these kind of programs”.</p>
<p>Good management is about making choices, so a decision not to do something should be analysed as closely as a decision to do something. In my experience, “cultural lock-in”- the phenomenon by which aerospace and defence industry professionals continue to do what they have always done, is the most significant obstacle in the journey towards a Lean Aerospace organization.</p>
<p>I was reading a recent <a href="http://www.cincom.com/ADebook">2009 Cincom report</a>, this is an ERP company, which concluded that Lean manufacturing is lacking in the aerospace and defence industry.</p>
<p><span style="color: #800000;"><strong>Report Highlights</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>Only 23% of aerospace and defence (A&amp;D) manufacturers surveyed have implemented demand-driven manufacturing tactics such as electronic Kanban, lean manufacturing techniques and shared business processes.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>There is a lack of Lean project management with only 8% of those surveyed using integrated project management with lean manufacturing.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Nearly 50% of aerospace and defence (A&amp;D) manufacturers rely on redundant data input to manage their mixed-mode manufacturing processes. This means there is a limited amount of shared data between manufacturing modes. Other preferred processes included electronic Kanban/lean manufacturing (23%) and manual processes (8%), with the fewest respondents using an automated, integrated system.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Slightly more than one-third of aerospace and defence (A&amp;D) manufacturers surveyed (38%) have project-management integration with accounting, finance or customer-management systems. This means that nearly two-thirds (62%) have no project-management integration with these systems. This creates a gap between advanced manufacturers who can create profit and loss statements per project and those who lack insight into their projects’ profitability.</li>
</ul>
<p>To conclude, Lean is not just a set of tools and techniques- it’s a mindset and an attitude- which requires top down leadership and visible support as matter of course. Until Aerospace executives realize this critical success factor for any Lean implementation, most corporate Lean initiatives will be limited to ad-hoc improvements  and fail to realize the benefits initially envisaged.</p>
<p>The following quote captures this point succinctly.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">&#8220;Faced with the choice between changing one&#8217;s mind and proving that there is no need to do so, almost everyone gets busy on the proof&#8221;.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">~John Kenneth Galbraith</p>
<p><a href="mailto:kzamir@game-change.com">Kamran Zamir</a></p>
<p><a href="../../">Game-Change Consulting</a></p>
<p>2009-11-29</p>
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		<title>Airbus head of strategy Christian Scherer- &#8220;Our customers don’t just want an incremental improvement, they want a game changer&#8221;.</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/11/28/airbus-head-of-strategy-christian-scherer-our-customers-don%e2%80%99t-just-want-an-incremental-improvement-they-want-a-game-changer/</link>
		<comments>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/11/28/airbus-head-of-strategy-christian-scherer-our-customers-don%e2%80%99t-just-want-an-incremental-improvement-they-want-a-game-changer/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Nov 2009 22:33:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.game-change.com/blog/?p=377</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[“Before 2020 we will have new competitors: a Chinese aircraft, a Russion aircraft, the Canadians, Brazilians, and Japanese,” Christian explained. “All of them are developing short- to medium-range aircraft what will come out in the middle of the next decade.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>28th November 2009</p>
<p><a href="mailto:jtranmer@game-change.com">Jeremy Tranmer</a></p>
<p><a href="../../">Game-Change Consulting</a></p>
<p>I came across this article in the magazine, ONE; Airbus news for Airbus people, entitled &#8220;Strategic Futures&#8221;.</p>
<p>Airbus will continue to improve its existing aircraft families even as it looks to the horizon with its future aircraft programmes, says <strong>head of strategy Christian Scherer</strong>.</p>
<p>Airbus’ position as an innovator and market leader ensures its strategic direction attracts attention. The company’s reputation for delivering new standards is built upon the success of the A320 Family and extended with each new aircraft it delivers. But that success has not deterred others from entering the market. <strong>“Before 2020 we will have new competitors: a Chinese aircraft, a Russion aircraft, the Canadians, Brazilians, and Japanese,” Christian explained. “All of them are developing short- to medium-range aircraft what will come out in the middle of the next decade.</strong> We need to continue to improve the A320 Family to stay competitive. Without giving away too many details, Christian mentioned new advanced turbofan engines and the much-discussed wingtips as potential modifications that will increase the A320 Family’s range and maxumum take-off weight. “We are aspiring to a 5 per cent improvement in fuel burn with the wingtips alone and are pushing out technical and engineering communities to make these ready for entry into service during 2012,” he said. He added that unconventional open rotor engines are being considered for future generations of eco-efficient aircraft.</p>
<p><a rel="attachment wp-att-378" href="http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/11/28/airbus-head-of-strategy-christian-scherer-our-customers-don%e2%80%99t-just-want-an-incremental-improvement-they-want-a-game-changer/09eads-600/"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-378" title="09eads.600" src="http://www.game-change.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/09eads.600.jpg" alt="09eads.600" width="600" height="351" /></a></p>
<p>Beyond 2012, Christian emphasized that Airbus’ future programmes are driven by customers’ expectations and the maturity of available technologies. Economic efficiency, simplicity of operation and environmental friendliness are top priorities. “Customers’ number one criterion is fuel burn. That is crucial for the short- to medium-range market,” Christian said. Althought there is intense interest in a delivery time-frame, he believes that a successful end product is the first priority. “Frankly, the date is a detail. <strong>Our customers don’t just want an incremental improvement, they want a game changer.</strong> What’s important is that Airbus keeps its foot on the pedal of technical research. We want to remain leaders and innovators,” he added.</p>
<p>To that end, Airbus is making substantial research and development efforts in operations, propulsion, aerodynamics, and air traffic management. “We are moving beyond the traditional Airbus scope,” Christian pointed out. “Air traffic management is a huge subject that has an effect on the sustainability of our business frowth. Connectivity, providing air-ground connections, is another area we are promoting as part of our Vision 2020 drive to expand Airbus’ services business. We are also negotiating and implementing major international cooperation projects in support of Airbus’ globalisation strategy. There are a myriad of interesting products.”</p>
<p><strong>Game-Change comment:</strong> While Airbus themselves recognise the threat of new entrants in the middle of the next decade, are they also on the ball when it comes to on-time, on-cost delivery of their technologically advanced designs? Recent history suggests not.</p>
<p>Does Airbus have effective operational design development systems aligned to Christian’s strategic directions. Again, recent history suggests its design/development processes are woefully inadequate. Indeed, a rumour circulating the industry is that Airbus has revoked the licences for the software it uses to develop and modify metal wings. Such software would be essential to develop any significant changes to all Airbus’ existing aircraft families. The rumour goes on to suggest that the reason is due to Power8 Plus, Airbus’ top-down improvement (read: short-term cost slashing) initiative. One can only marvel at the short-sightedness of such a decision, if it is true.</p>
<p>For an analysis of the threat posed by just the Japanese, see the Game-Change article: Is there a Future for the Western Commercial Aerospace Industry?</p>
<p><a href="mailto:jtranmer@game-change.com">Jeremy Tranmer</a></p>
<p><a href="../../">Game-Change Consulting</a></p>
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		<title>Airbus &#8220;Violated Key Tenet of Lean&#8221;?</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/11/02/airbus-violated-key-tenet-of-lean/</link>
		<comments>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/11/02/airbus-violated-key-tenet-of-lean/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 16:33:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Airbus said Friday that it booked orders for just 16 planes in March, compared with 54 orders in March 2008 and 37 orders the previous year. The company has said it may capture only between 300 and 400 new orders this year, down from 777 orders minus cancellations last year.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Monday, April 13, 2009</h2>
<p><!-- Begin .post --></p>
<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123896780501890723.html">Airbus Aims to Pull Back Without Stalling &#8211; WSJ.com</a>:</p>
<p>This recent article about Airbus talks about facing a challenge of declining airplane orders.</p>
<blockquote><p>Airbus said Friday that it booked orders for just 16 planes in March, compared with 54 orders in March 2008 and 37 orders the previous year. The company has said it may capture only between 300 and 400 new orders this year, down from 777 orders minus cancellations last year.</p></blockquote>
<p>The article mentions some of the challenges:</p>
<ul>
<li>How to cut off orders without sticking suppliers with tons of inventory, which could bankrupt them?</li>
<li>How to scale back on labor without having a &#8220;brain drain&#8221; when orders pick up again?</li>
</ul>
<p>On the second question, I&#8217;ll give Airbus some credit for not treating production workers as a disposable, interchange direct unit labor cost:</p>
<blockquote><p>And laying off skilled workers could cause a brain drain that slows an eventual recovery. &#8220;It takes a long time for us to train our folks who design and assemble planes, so we&#8217;ve got to be careful,&#8221; said Mr. Williams, Airbus&#8217;s executive vice president for programs, in an interview at the company&#8217;s headquarters here.</p></blockquote>
<p>Hooray for being careful.</p>
<p>Now back to the first question on inventory&#8230; this comes back to a question of lead time. If you have long lead times (or wildly fluctuating customer orders), you need inventory as a buffer. A goal should be to reduce lead times (as the supplier) or level out production (as the customer) to help reduce total supply chain inventories. Or, the customer can partner with the supplier to work on reducing lead time through Lean improvements. My MIT masters thesis covers some of these relationships and makes the case that you can&#8217;t put the cart before the horse. You must reduce the root causes of holding inventory before just blindly cutting inventory.</p>
<p>As an aside, this is a concept that Dell never understood well when I was there. This is just one reason why I don&#8217;t consider Dell a true Toyota &#8220;Lean&#8221; company.</p>
<p>While they wanted &#8220;just-in-time&#8221; delivery of parts to factories, this was partly a ruse and an accounting trick. Large amounts of inventory were staged in supplier warehouses just off site and were delivered every two hours. That part of the equation was relatively easy &#8211; figure out what parts you need for the next two hours of production (taking planned orders and running that through the BOM to transmit needs to the warehouse).</p>
<p>One thing that made the Dell scenario complicated is that you often didn&#8217;t have ALL of the components required to build a given PC or given order. So the computer system had to run through and see what was &#8220;Available to Build&#8221; meaning all the parts were available. If an order was missing one part, you didn&#8217;t want to pull the other 20 parts needed for something that couldn&#8217;t be built.</p>
<p>And why was Dell often missing a key component?</p>
<ol>
<li>Long lead times from suppliers</li>
<li>Wildly variable demand</li>
</ol>
<p>Dell kept pushing suppliers to Asia (as part of the industry trend). Even mechanical items, like computer cases, were being made in Asia instead of down the road in Texas. As supply chain lead times get longer, you need more inventory. Dell was INCREASING total supply chain inventory, even though they still only had hours on hand on their own books. Or, you had more stockouts, which meant you couldn&#8217;t build all of your customer orders.</p>
<p>Dell also didn&#8217;t do much to practice &#8220;heijunka&#8221; or level loading of sales orders. For all of the typical reasons, Dell&#8217;s sales incentives drove a huge &#8220;hockey stick&#8221; effect where production and orders were huge in the last few weeks (and days) of any quarter, in order to hit quarterly production numbers. A friend of mine wrote a great MIT thesis about why Dell should take steps to level out sales, as the non-level production was getting increasingly expensive in many ways. But, I think this thesis was persona non grata with Dell and I suspect that&#8217;s why it&#8217;s not on the MIT website.</p>
<p>So back to Airbus&#8230; if they want to avoid sticking suppliers with inventory, they should have worked with them earlier to reduce lead times. Or, maybe they can use this slow period to work with them to prepare for the next ramp up (being able to respond with production, not just warehoused inventory) or prepare for the next slow down. Maybe they should all play the MIT Beer Game together as Mike from the Got Boondoggle? blog did with his company?</p>
<p>The airplane industry has learned to avoid big swings in production. Boeing has taken care to not increase production too quickly (but that leads to really long waiting times as the sales backlog increases). This article calls their backlog a &#8220;blessing in disguise&#8221; because their leveled production means there&#8217;s work (and jobs) today even with fewer orders. You can now get a plane in 2010 instead of having to wait until 2015.</p>
<blockquote><p>Boeing&#8217;s experience shows that sudden shifts in production can be crippling.<span style="font-weight: bold;"> A decade ago, the plane maker tried to boost output in a short period and quickly faced shortages of parts and qualified staff. Dozens of unfinished jetliners sat outside factories under tents as workers scrambled to finish them</span>. Resolving production problems pushed Boeing deep into losses even as it delivered a record number of planes. Since then, both Boeing and Airbus have tried to avoid big swings in production volumes.</p></blockquote>
<p>I don&#8217;t know about you, but that doesn&#8217;t give me a warm fuzzy. I don&#8217;t want to fly in a plane that was built under those circumstances. It&#8217;s one thing to build SUVs without brakes to rework them after a parking lot stint (as Ford did). It&#8217;s another thing to have poorly trained people off the street building a PC (as some companies might have done)&#8230; so that&#8217;s why Boeing has erred on the side of level production&#8230; focusing on quality and safety, I&#8217;ll give them that much, that they have learned. This article talks about the too-fast ramp-up for 737s and how that &#8220;yo-yo-ed&#8221; suppliers.</p>
<p>Airbus has been working with suppliers, this article says. I guess that&#8217;s Toyota-like, to partner and be at the supplier&#8217;s &#8220;gemba.&#8221; I&#8217;m not sure if having suppliers design and build 80% of the value-added content is Toyota-like&#8230;.</p>
<blockquote><p>Now, Mr. Williams said Airbus procurement staff are &#8220;walking the shop floor&#8221; at suppliers&#8217; factories to spot signs of weakness, such as thin staff or insufficient inventories.</p></blockquote>
<p>OK, so +1 point for Airbus.</p>
<p>But long lead times make it harder to forecast what you need. That was the case at Dell. As suppliers were further away, the lead times increased. It&#8217;s fundamental in operations that it&#8217;s harder to forecast out over a longer time horizon. This is true for Dell, Airbus, or Toyota. It&#8217;s like a law of physics.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Of course we&#8217;d like to have more robust information, but it&#8217;s very difficult for Airbus themselves to have an accurate forecast,&#8221; Mr. Bolette said.</p></blockquote>
<p>It was harder for Dell, because Dell was true &#8220;build to order&#8221; at that time. They had to order parts from suppliers based on forecasts. With Boeing, with their huge order backlog (waiting years to get a plane), if their suppliers are FAST enough, they should be able to order from suppliers based on TRUE volume, the way Dell orders parts from the off-site &#8220;it&#8217;s not ours&#8221; warehouse, right?</p>
<blockquote><p>From the day Airbus decides to boost or cut output, its supply chain needs around a year to react through steps such as hiring staff, buying machine tools and sourcing raw materials. To shorten that period, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Mr. Williams&#8217; team has violated a key tenet of lean manufacturing &#8212; keeping parts inventories to a minimum</span> &#8212; and squirreled away extra supplies of components that take particularly long to prepare, such as the metal forgings inside landing gear.</p></blockquote>
<p>Again, a WSJ writer doesn&#8217;t understand Lean. This is quite a trend. &#8220;Low inventory&#8221; itself is NOT a &#8220;key tenet&#8221; of Lean (unless the 1980&#8242;s book &#8220;Zero Inventories<img style="border: medium none  ! important; margin: 0px ! important; display: none;" src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=leanmanufac02-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=0870944614" border="0" alt="" width="1" height="1" />&#8221; is the only book you&#8217;ve ever read about Lean and you only read the cover). That&#8217;s putting the cart before the horse.</p>
<p>The key tenet that Airbus (and other companies) might be violating is doing everything you can to reduce lead times. To reduce total supply chain inventory (-1 point to Dell). To first off, keep the line running (meet customer needs in a timely way, -1 point to Boeing) and then keep inventory as low as possible.</p>
<p>Airbus HAS to &#8220;squirrel away&#8221; parts precisely because of the long lead times. Either Airbus doesn&#8217;t get it, or the WSJ writer doesn&#8217;t get it. Could be most likely the latter, but you never know&#8230;</p>
<p>Source: eBlogger</p>
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		<title>How Toyota builds cars, and what it teaches Aerospace companies</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/11/01/how-toyota-builds-cars-and-what-it-teaches-aerospace-companies/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Nov 2009 23:40:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[As a result of the changes, Mr. Roberts said his plant is running smoother than it has run in the 18 months since he joined the company from Airbus U.K. His appointment also coincided with that of Guy Hachey as Bombardier Aerospace president, a man with a long history in lean auto manufacturing himself. Mr. Hachey has set an ambitious goal to improve Bombardier Aerospace's margins to 12% by 2013, from the 9% it recorded last year. That might not seem like much on the surface, but with the aerospace division reporting sales of $10-billion last year, it could translate into hundreds of millions of dollars of profits.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span>Bombardier Inc.&#8217;s Toronto plant employs an efficiency system developed by Toyota Motor Corp. </span></p>
<div style="font-size: 12px;">
<p>At first blush, the operations Simon Roberts and Dr. Kevin Smith run could not be more different. Mr. Roberts oversees the construction of some of the most complex aircraft in the world as head of Bombardier Inc.&#8217; s Toronto plant in Downsview; while Dr. Smith is tasked with overseeing St. Joseph&#8217;s Healthcare in Hamilton as its chief executive.</p>
<p>But upon closer examination, a number of similarities between the two emerge, and in particular the challenges they face on a day-to-day basis. Both are in charge of huge facilities with a highly skilled workforce while trying to manage an extremely complex and precious product.</p>
<p>The goal for Mr. Roberts is saving money in an extremely high-cost, low-margin business. For Dr. Smith, it&#8217;s about saving lives.</p>
<p>They have also both turned to a somewhat unusual source recently to help them run their operations more efficiently: Toyota Motor Corp.</p>
<p>The Japanese automaker has long been considered the gold standard in lean manufacturing. But in recent years, other industries outside of the auto sector have also begun to adapt Toyota&#8217;s methods to streamline and improve upon their own operations, including both Bombardier and St. Joe&#8217;s in recent months.</p>
<p>The &#8220;Toyota Production System&#8221; was developed in the 1950s at a time when the Japanese auto industry was suffering, and Toyota, in particular, lacked the cash it needed to fund its operations and or even keep enough inventory on hand to build its cars.</p>
<p>In an effort to improve its operations, Toyota&#8217;s founders travelled to the United States to see how the wildly successful system instituted by Henry Ford built cars. But they were said to be less impressed by Ford&#8217;s plants than a system being used at the local grocery store: an automatic drink resupplier, where a customer wants a drink, takes one, and then another one replaces it. It was this machine, and its ability to hold only the inventory needed, that is credited with planting the first seed for what would eventually develop into the &#8220;Toyota Way&#8221; of building cars.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a system based on eliminating all forms of waste. For example, waste of overproduction, waste of excess inventory, waste of extra motion, waste of waiting,&#8221; said Greig Mordue, Toyota Motor Manufacturing Canada general manager, in an interview. &#8220;It&#8217;s also based on a principle of continuous improvement, never standing still and never accepting the status quo as the final resting place.&#8221;</p>
<p>Bombardier Aerospace had started to adopt some of the bare bones of the system years ago, but they were failing to gain much traction, primarily because the company lacked a workforce that felt empowered to improve upon existing systems and a leadership team that would facilitate this, Mr. Roberts said.</p>
<p>So, about 18 months ago, the Montreal transportation giant packed up its top 76 aerospace executives and flew them to Toyota&#8217;s headquarters in Japan with the goal of building planes as efficiently as the automaker builds its cars.</p>
<p>About six months after they returned, Bombardier Aerospace&#8217;s facilities in Mirabel and St. Laurent, and in Toronto, were completely revamped and are now using a production system that has proven simple and effective.</p>
<p>&#8220;Conceptually and directionally, it&#8217;s the same as Toyota,&#8221; Mr. Roberts said. &#8220;But its application is different.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is how it works: Posted outside of each department in each facility is a newspaper-sized piece of paper showing the performance rank of each department on a daily basis using five key metrics: safety, cost, quality, productivity and employee relations. These pieces of paper serve at once as an incentive for improvement and an easy way to identify and address issues on a day-today basis, Mr. Robert said.</p>
<p>Every morning the plant manager walks through the factory and collects the data off these sheets, and any problems that have arisen in the previous day&#8217;s work are discussed during a fast-paced 30-minute meeting held at 10 a.m. with the department heads. Any issues are addressed collectively here.</p>
<p>At the end of the week, all the department heads meet again to discuss how the week&#8217;s work is fitting into the plant&#8217;s six-year plan, and at the end of the month, the heads of each factory meet to discuss how each site is tracking on Bombardier&#8217;s own six-year plan &#8212; dubbed the &#8220;Blue Sky Vision.&#8221;</p>
<p>While it may seem unnecessarily bureaucratic, Mr. Roberts said it is has proven highly effective in driving out inefficiencies and quickly addressing issues that crop up, rather than waiting until the end of the month, or when aircraft are delivered, as Bombardier used to.</p>
<p>As a result of the changes, Mr. Roberts said his plant is running smoother than it has run in the 18 months since he joined the company from Airbus U.K. His appointment also coincided with that of Guy Hachey as Bombardier Aerospace president, a man with a long history in lean auto manufacturing himself. Mr. Hachey has set an ambitious goal to improve Bombardier Aerospace&#8217;s margins to 12% by 2013, from the 9% it recorded last year. That might not seem like much on the surface, but with the aerospace division reporting sales of $10-billion last year, it could translate into hundreds of millions of dollars of profits.</p>
<p>While Mr. Roberts would not discuss in detail the improvements that have been realized since it has been implemented, anecdotally, plant managers in Toronto and in Mirabel said the new system has improved productivity in the production of its Global family of business jets by 20% and lowered the labour count per unit on its regional jets by about the same amount.</p>
<p>But more importantly, it has created a workforce of problem solvers, who have the means and motivation to innovate and improve upon the company&#8217;s existing process, Mr. Roberts said, laying the groundwork for continued improvements from those who actually build the planes in the years to come.</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s not just manufacturers such as Bombardier that are interested in developing this sort of empowered workforce, and nowhere is it needed than in the embattled health-care industry. This is something that St. Joe&#8217;s has started to realize after adapting the Toyota system to its own operations.</p>
<p>St. Joe&#8217;s partnership with Toyota came together somewhat serendipitously after a family member of the head of Toyota Motor Manufacturing Canada, Ray Tanguay, became a patient at the hospital. In the hours Mr. Tanguay subsequently spent at the hospital, he started to notice ways the automaker&#8217;s methodology might be able to help with the hectic flow of traffic through St. Joe&#8217;s.</p>
<p>The next day, Mr. Tanguay called Dr. Smith and encouraged him to come visit the automaker&#8217;s operations and to see if they could work together &#8212; a service Toyota has offered free of charge through its charitable arm.</p>
<p>As a result of that meeting, St. Joe&#8217;s adopted a version of the Toyota Production System about five months ago that is remarkably similar to the one being used at Bombardier. It is already yielding remarkable results at reducing wait times in the hospital&#8217;s emergency room.</p>
<p>Central to the process is a central chart rack that provides a snapshot of what is going on at any given time in the ER. It tracks patients&#8217; movements, which doctors are with which patients, who is waiting for lab results, and a series of other metrics.</p>
<p>It even has a piece of paper, as at Bombardier, which gauges the performance of the previous day&#8217;s staff and is becoming a point of pride for the staff to continue with their improvements, Dr. Smith said. It is also supporting important changes in the ER and improving how the staff deals with patients.</p>
<p>For instance, St. Joe&#8217;s now puts doctors who take longer with patients on at slower times, while faster-paced doctors are put on at busier times.</p>
<p>&#8220;Slow doesn&#8217;t mean bad, it just means different,&#8221; Dr. Smith said. &#8220;In this model, one increasingly anticipates the systemic things that are going to happen that we need to manage. Posting real-time data makes a huge difference. Giving [the hospital's staff] information that is two or three months old has no basis in reality on their day-to-day existence.&#8221;</p>
<p>Since the new system was implemented, St. Joe&#8217;s wait times have fallen on average by a couple of hours per patient, Dr. Smith said. Roughly 90% of St. Joe&#8217;s patients now have a wait time of less than four hours, as opposed only 50% before, he added.</p>
<p>The goal is to eventually have all patients with minor injuries and illnesses treated and released within four hours of arrival, and all of the more severe cases treated or moved to another part of the hospital within eight hours. The closer the hospital gets to that goal, the more resources it will receive under the provincial program to reduce wait times, Dr. Smith said.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;ve changed basically how we triage, how we batch patients, how we treat infection, and how we use technologies,&#8221; he said. &#8220;So in each of those cases, what Toyota does is not only decreasing the variation [in wait times], but also reducing the error and increasing the efficiency.&#8221;</p>
<p>But the Toyota system also requires both Bombardier and St. Joe&#8217;s to continue to innovate, and both have said they are not done with their improvements. St. Joe&#8217;s, for instance, has noticed that whenever it has seriously ill patients who require all hands on deck, it backs up the whole ER, Dr. Smith said. &#8220;When that happens, it&#8217;s very hard to catch up,&#8221; he said. &#8220;So the new question is: How can we recover faster &#8230; recognizing you can&#8217;t really predict it?&#8221;</p>
<p>As a result, St. Joe&#8217;s is considering having some doctors on call who can offset the impact seriously ill patients have on the ER by coming in to deal with the other patients there.</p>
<p>Bombardier, on the other hand, is taking advantage of the discontinuation of some of its smaller turboprops in Toronto to begin to lay the groundwork for a movable assembly line &#8212; or a so-called pulse line. The system has never been used in Canada before to build planes, but is used by Bombardier&#8217;s main rival, Embraer, and by Boeing. Mr. Roberts implemented just such a line at Airbus for its A320, and said Toronto will likely have its own by next year.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;ve created transparency. We&#8217;ve introduced rigour and discipline,&#8221; Mr. Roberts said. &#8220;There is no Holy Grail. There is no secret answer. You&#8217;re not going to go to Toyota and find the one thing you do. But what you come away with is thinking that it is about doing many, many small things, and it&#8217;s about doing that every day.&#8221;</p>
</div>
<p><strong><strong>Scott Deveau,           Financial Post</strong> </strong><span> Published: Tuesday, October 13, 2009</span></p>
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		<title>&#8220;Fly on the wall&#8221; analysis of Decision Making</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/10/31/fly-on-the-wall-analysis-of-decision-making/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2009 13:33:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.game-change.com/blog/?p=436</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To be honest with you, at this moment in time, when all is said and done, we should be thinking outside the box, by taking a helicopter view on this, so that in the fullness of time, we are all singing from the same hymn sheet, to make a paradigm shift, where we can put some wheels on it and see if it will fly, in order to enhance our company's products and stay ahead of the game.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a rel="attachment wp-att-439" href="http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/10/31/fly-on-the-wall-analysis-of-decision-making/image4309/"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-439" title="image4309" src="http://www.game-change.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/image4309.jpg" alt="image4309" width="340" height="368" /></a></p>
<p>To be honest with you, at this moment in time, when all is said and done, we should be thinking outside the box, by taking a helicopter view on this, so that in the fullness of time, we are all singing from the same hymn sheet, to make a paradigm shift, where we can put some wheels on it and see if it will fly, in order to enhance our company&#8217;s products and stay ahead of the game.</p>
<p>Eventually, after checking it out at the appropriate time, we should also fly a kite on this, by doing some &#8216;blue sky&#8217; thinking to achieve the preliminary eyeball performance required on the Final Assembly Line (FAL), thereby giving us the micro gravitational situation, which we need to set up, to see what the RIO is on this business case.</p>
<p>Then we can raise the idea up the flag pole and see who salutes it, before we put it into production, only to realise that her bum looks too big in it!&#8221; Personally, I myself think, that at the end of the day, she will be over the moon with our decisions.</p>
<p>I came across this recent blog  (can&#8217;t remember where), and found it most amusing.</p>
<p>Take care all!</p>
<p>Kamran Zamir</p>
<p>&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;..</p>
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		<title>Bad News Not Flowing Up at Boeing?</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/10/24/bad-news-not-flowing-up-at-boeing/</link>
		<comments>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/10/24/bad-news-not-flowing-up-at-boeing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Oct 2009 18:07:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Insight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aerospace and defense industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aerospace blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aerospace news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aerospace supply chain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boeing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lean aerospace]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.game-change.com/blog/?p=43</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Blame -- there's another dysfunction of broken organizations. Is it really the suppliers' fault? Do you "blame" those who chose the suppliers? Those who manage the suppliers? Does it matter?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>24th Oct 2010, Jeremy Tranmer</div>
<div></div>
<div>Game-Change Comment</div>
<div></div>
<div>One of the most exciting posts I have read in a while.</div>
<div></div>
<div>Isn&#8217;t it a fairly common dysfunction of organizations that bad news doesn&#8217;t flow up? This happens in manufacturing&#8230; an old boss at unnamed company (not GM) once typified this by saying (bragging really) that &#8220;<strong>my job is make my boss look good</strong>.</div>
<div>&#8221; That &#8220;goal&#8221; certainly wasn&#8217;t accomplished by sharing any bad news. I was sickened. I wanted to focus on making things better, not just creating the fake impression of better. Bad news never flowed up.</div>
<div>In other organizations (and this was a GM dynamic) bad news didn&#8217;t flow upward. Why? Mainly fear. Fear of being yelled at. Fear of being embarrassed in front of others and ridiculed. That fear led to team leaders faking the hourly production numbers (the shift total was correct, but the hourly numbers were smoothed out to eliminate the peaks and valleys&#8230; the valleys got you yelled at).</div>
<div>Last week, Boeing announced at the huge annual Paris Air Show that the test flight of the troubled 787 was on track.</div>
<p><span><span> </span></span></p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;&#8230;Boeing had said at the Paris Air Show just days ago that the plane was ready to fly.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<div><span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,Verdana,sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"> </span>I&#8217;m not an aviation expert, but I know the annual air show (in France or the U.K.) is THE wheeling and dealing show of the year. Many planes are sold here, right?</div>
<div>Then, Boeing announced after the show that the test flight will be delayed.</div>
<div>So what gives?</div>
<div>I often have a bit of a philosophical debate with my wife when a company screws up &#8212; are they dishonest or are they incompetent? Sometimes you can&#8217;t tell. We have a little debate about which is worse &#8212; competent but dishonest (at least they&#8217;re competent) or honest and incompetent?</div>
<div>You might think the Boeing executives were lying in Paris. But they&#8217;d have to be smarter than that, to think that the lie would eventually catch up to them.</div>
<div>I don&#8217;t think Boeing&#8217;s executives (or GM&#8217;s) are stupid.</div>
<div><strong>Did they HONESTLY think the test flight was on time?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;&#8216;During the last two years&#8230;some investors described optimistic statements by management as misleading,&#8217; wrote Doug Harned, aerospace analyst at Bernstein Research, in a note to investors Tuesday. &#8216;On the contrary, <strong>we saw the answers as honest, which is the heart of the problem. Management appears to have been operating without adequate visibility into the details of program performance in the 787 organization and at suppliers.&#8217;&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>Honest, but a clueless sort of honest. Why did the information not get to the Boeing execs? They must be pretty embarrassed (they didn&#8217;t comment for yesterday&#8217;s WSJ story).</p>
</div>
<div>The above quote blames the suppliers, in a way. Blame &#8212; there&#8217;s another dysfunction of broken organizations. Is it really the suppliers&#8217; fault? Do you &#8220;blame&#8221; those who chose the suppliers? Those who manage the suppliers? Does it matter?</div>
<div>This article assigns blame internally in Boeing:</div>
<div>
<blockquote><p>The structural flaw that has grounded Boeing&#8217;s 787 Dreamliner <strong>originates with Boeing&#8217;s engineering and will likely add months of delay to the new jet program</strong>, an executive with key partner Mitsubishi Heavy Industries said Wednesday.</p></blockquote>
<p>Trying to piece this together&#8230; it&#8217;s probably not too much of a stretch to assume that people in Boeing KNEW that there were problems or likely delays.</p>
</div>
<div>Oh, the WSJ reports that people in Boeing DID know&#8230; in May, when the Air Show was in June. D&#8217;oh!</div>
<div>
<blockquote><p>This week, however, Boeing said its engineers and senior executives alike had known since May of the structural problem that will keep the jet grounded, possibly for months.</p></blockquote>
</div>
<div>Why did this news not get to Boeing execs? At what point in the communication chain did things break down? Who was afraid to share the bad news?</div>
<div>The same type of dysfunction exists in hospitals&#8230; bad news not filtering up to VPs or the CEO. Do you have examples to share (anonymously) about bad news not flowing up? What caused that? Was it fear, as Dr. Deming would have said??</div>
<div>There&#8217;s a story in my book, Lean Hospitals, about how the CEO in a leading lean hospital was helping create an environment where people could be honest without fear of retribution. A nurse told him bad news &#8212; that she wasn&#8217;t entering information about medication errors into the computer system because it took too long. He thanked her for telling him this and worked to get the problem fixed as a &#8220;servant leader.&#8221;</div>
<p>I guess Boeing doesn&#8217;t have that type of culture? Or am I wrong?</p>
<p>source: leanblog.org</p>
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		<title>Boeing’s Problems: Lean Lessons Unlearned</title>
		<link>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/10/24/boeing%e2%80%99s-problems-lean-lessons-unlearned/</link>
		<comments>http://www.game-change.com/blog/2009/10/24/boeing%e2%80%99s-problems-lean-lessons-unlearned/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Oct 2009 17:58:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kamran Zamir</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Insight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[787 dreamliner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aerospace]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.game-change.com/blog/?p=41</guid>
		<description><![CDATA["..... with the 787 Dreamliner, "workers are adjusting to building a new airplane. A lot of them have been moved around...so their work lacks continuity which leads to production errors."]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2><strong>10.12.2009</strong></h2>
<p>You have undoubtedly heard about the latest developments in the Boeing soap opera, most recently the announcement of a delay in the first flight of the 747-8.</p>
<p>In his FlightBlogger blog, Jon Ostrower has done a good job of analyzing what when wrong. He attributes it to “resource constraints driven by the engineering responsibilities diverted by the 787 program.”</p>
<p>He also quotes one engineer as saying that, with the 787 Dreamliner, &#8220;workers are adjusting to building a new airplane. A lot of them have been moved around&#8230;so their work lacks continuity which leads to production errors.&#8221;</p>
<p>What I find most interesting is Jon’s descriptions of problems stemming from early decisions about planning (or not planning).</p>
<p><em>Boeing decided against a full systems integration lab (SIL) for the 747-8 derivative aircraft, due to the influence of the legacy systems on the current design. However, because a SIL was unavailable, says a second 747-8 program engineer, many of the system level issues were encountered on the aircraft, rather than being caught in the lab.<br />
In addition, without a universal computer model derived from Dassault Systemes CATIA v5 software, Boeing has found itself &#8220;trying to bridge the gap between 1969 and 2009,&#8221; says a veteran engineer based at one of Boeing&#8217;s 747-8 suppliers.<br />
</em></p>
<p><em>For example, the new wing design and enlarged empennage were designed through CATIA v5, while a portion of of the internal fuselage structure and other parts of the aircraft were built using legacy engineering drawings.<br />
Some parts and their associated engineering drawings, the engineer says, have not changed since the 747-100, which in some instances has led to a loss of tolerance control in some areas.</em><br />
<em> </em></p>
<p>All of this is very sad news about a company that knows as much about lean as Boeing. While following lean strategies and tactics might not, by itself, have been enough to avoid everything that has happened, certainly a greater attention to value stream mapping and management might have helped.</p>
<p>A lot of what Boeing learned over the years about lean seems to have been unlearned. Maybe when Alan Mulally is done at Ford he can return to Boeing.</p>
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